Phoenix Mercury
15
Sealed predictions
15
Results settled
53.3%
Model-favored hit rate (sample 15)
8/15
Hits / settled
The pre-game sealed predictions and actual results for Phoenix Mercury's games. This team's win probability is the value the model sealed before the game, and results are matched automatically. After-the-fact edits are impossible — missed predictions stay exactly as they were.
Sealed prediction history 15 games · newest first
| Game | Opponent (H/A) | This team win prob. | Result | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | vs Toronto Tempo | 57% · Model Pick | 69 @ 101 · W | Hit |
| 2026-08-27 | vs Washington Mystics | 39% | 80 @ 73 · L | Hit |
| 2026-08-25 | vs Washington Mystics | 41% | 94 @ 84 · L | Hit |
| 2026-08-22 | vs Atlanta Dream | 33% | 99 @ 89 · L | Hit |
| 2026-08-16 | vs Portland Fire | 51% · Model Pick | 88 @ 85 · L | Miss |
| 2026-08-11 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 47% | 94 @ 87 · W | Miss |
| 2026-08-09 | @ Washington Mystics | 38% | 75 @ 95 · L | Hit |
| 2026-08-07 | @ Connecticut Sun | 59% · Model Pick | 72 @ 75 · L | Miss |
| 2026-08-05 | @ Atlanta Dream | 33% | 82 @ 96 · L | Hit |
| 2026-08-03 | @ Chicago Sky | 44% | 106 @ 101 · W | Miss |
| 2026-08-01 | vs New York Liberty | 39% | 94 @ 92 · L | Hit |
| 2026-07-29 | vs Golden State Valkyries | 29% | 89 @ 91 · W | Miss |
| 2026-07-22 | @ Los Angeles Sparks | 45% | 86 @ 82 · W | Miss |
| 2026-07-19 | vs Connecticut Sun | 56% · Model Pick | 63 @ 72 · W | Hit |
| 2026-07-17 | vs Connecticut Sun | 60% · Model Pick | 96 @ 83 · L | Miss |
All predictions are locked and sealed before the game — full track record · methodology & honest disclosure